This is the web page for AMS 206 (winter 2019). In what follows DD = David Draper (lecturer; email address draper@ucsc.edu), RG  = Rene Gutierrez  (TA; email address rgutie17@ucsc.edu), and BE = Baskin Engineering.

The catalog description for AMS 206 is as follows:

Introduces Bayesian statistical modeling from a practitioner's perspective. Covers basic concepts (e.g., prior-posterior updating, Bayes factors, conjugacy, hierarchical modeling, shrinkage, ...), computational tools (Markov chain Monte Carlo, Laplace approximations), and Bayesian inference for some specific models widely used in the literature (linear and generalized linear mixed models). Prerequisite(s): course 131 or 203, or by permission of the instructor. Enrollment is restricted to graduate students except by instructor permission.

• (27 Dec 2018) Announcements will be posted in this section. The first Attachment section below will contain (scanned) PDF copies of the lecture notes, document camera notes and extra notes, as well as case studies and R , Maple  and WinBUGS code; the second Attachment section will contain secure documents and is invisible until you log into the web page with your CruzID Blue password (click on the tiny 'Log In' in the lower right corner).
• (2 Jan 2019) The webcasts for the course have now been scheduled. To watch a video, go to https://webcast.ucsc.edu/ and click on the Video List link under AMS 206; you'll then be taken to a login page. Type ams-206-1 in the top yellow box and bayesian-data-science in the yellow box below that; if you check the Remember me box, you won't have to type these things in during subsequent logins on the machine where you just entered those details. When you now click the blue Login box, you'll go to the Course Webcasts page, and you can now watch any videos you like. The nice thing about the webcasts is, unlike me when I'm lecturing, you can pause, rewind and fast forward the videos.
• (14 Jan 2019, revised 28 Jan 2019, revised 5 Feb 2019) Here are the office hours for AMS 206 this quarter, all of which will take place in Baskin 358 until further notice: Mon 4-5.30pm (DD); Mon 6-7pm (RG); Tue 3.30-5pm (DD); Wed 12.30-2pm (DD); Wed 6-7pm (RG); Thu 3.30-5pm (DD); Fri noon-1pm (RG); Fri 4-5.30pm (DD).